San Diego Real Estate Trends Pacing With National Housing Prices

Posted by The Cascade Team Real Estate on Tuesday, August 25th, 2015 at 9:00pm

San Diego County's upward real estate cost trends match nationwide figures.

The June house price index, which tracks same-house sales for a specific period o, was up 4.5 percent nationally and 4.6 percent locally from the very same month last year.

David Blitzer, S&P's managing director and chairman of S&P's index committee, marked down any spillover effect on real estate from the presently unstable stock market, a minimum of in the meantime. Because last Tuesday, the S&P 500 stock index has dropped 10.9 percent.

"A stock market correction is unlikely to do much damage to the housing market," Blitzer stated in a statement. "A full-blown bearish market dropping more than 20 percent would provide some troubles for real estate and for other economic sectors.".

The housing index, which was set at 100 for all cities since January 2000, stood at 212.34 for San Diego in June, indicating that typical prices were more than double the 2000 levels. Throughout the real estate add a decade earlier, San Diego's index rose to a peak of 250.34 in November 2005 and then fell back to 144.43 in April 2009 before beginning a slow recuperation. That indicates San Diego's index needs to climb up nearly 38 index points to reach the previous high.

Of the 20 metros, just Dallas and Denver have actually surpassed their previous peaks. Boston, San Francisco and Charlotte, N.C., are the closest to breaking their previous records.

S&P analyst Craig Lazzara stated the greatest impact on housing recuperation is just how much markets fell during the recession. Those that fell the most, Las Vegas and Phoenix, still have the outermost to go.

"One of the important things that drives the cost of houses is competitors from leasings," he added. "If there are great deals of leasings and it's easy to rent a nice apartment and have a great deal of options, there's less incentive to pay for a house. If it's extremely tight and pricey, then you have more reward to purchase a residence.".

Lazzara said the approximately 5 percent annualized rate gratitude rate represents a "sustainable" level. Even if it is about double the inflation rate, it is not in "bubble" area, he stated.

In response to the stock market's gyrations, Lazzara said anybody pondering a house purchase need to not have deposit funds purchased stocks.

"The chance of losing cash is somewhat less good than generating income," he said. "If you really need the money, you should not be doing that (stock investing) in the first place.".

Mark Goldman, a property representative, loan officer and lecturer at San Diego State University, called the real estate market "steady and strong" and heading toward a likely 3.5 percent annualized rate rise. He said rate of interest have actually not changed noticeably with the stock changes-- increasing or falling just about one-eighth of a point from day to day.

"The economy is not on fire however it is succeeding and in general I think more people believe it's improving instead of deteriorating," Goldman said, "and subsequently more people are willing to come into the home-buying market.".

He said some high-income purchasers might pause before they get in a multi-million-dollar purchase if their stock portfolio takes a big hit. But in some cases they can time the market perfectly.

Simply last week, he recommended a customer to pull about $250,000 out of investments to obtain ready to close a deal. That turned out to be a great guess.

"Was that a good call or exactly what?!" he said. "I wish I might take credit for being that experienced.".

Goldman does not profess to understand the ins and outs of stocks, however he said newbie house buyers might want to wait a few days to see if the marketplace settles prior to buying.

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